News & Analysis

Preview: Non-Farm Payroll Announcement

May 3, 2019

It’s a new month which means the latest Non-Farm Payroll figures will be released this week by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The latest US jobs data will be released at 13:30 PM London time on Friday.

Why is the announcement important?

Non-farm payroll is one of the most closely watched indicators and is considered the most wide-ranging measure of job creation in the United States. An increase in the non-farm payrolls would suggest rising employment and potential inflation pressure which would mean a potential rate increase by the Federal Reserve. A decline would suggest a slowing economy which would mean a decline in the interest rates more likely. The measure accounts for around 80% of the workers who contribute to the Gross Domestic Product.


In March, the total non-farm payroll employment increased by 196,000 beating the economist’s forecast of 180,000. Most significant job gains were in health care and in professional and technical services.

Economists are expecting an increase by 190,000 in the month of April. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 3.8%. Average hourly earnings are expected to increase by 0.1% to 3.3%.

All eyes on the announcement.

By Klāvs Valters  

This article is written by a GO Markets Analyst and is based on their independent analysis. They remain fully responsible for the views expressed as well as any remaining error or omissions. Trading Forex and Derivatives carries a high level of risk.

Sources: Datawrapper, Investing, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics


Ready to give it a GO?