News & Analysis

The Bank of England Rate Decision

July 28, 2017

The Bank of England on the 3rd August, will announce whether they will increase, decrease or maintain the key interest for the United Kingdom. In this article we will look ahead with some industry experts and see how the UK economy performed last quarter.

Who decides the rates?

Interest rates are set by the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee which is made of nine members – The Governor, the three Deputy Governors for Monetary Policy, Financial Stability and Markets & Banking, the Banks’s Chief Economist and four external members appointed directly by the Chancellor.

Expectations

According to Bank of England’s Deputy governor Ben Broadbent it is unlikely that the current interest rate of 0.25% will be raised on 3rd August as the directions of the UK economy remains unclear. Mr Broadbent is a close ally to the Bank of England governor Mark Carney, who in a recent interview said he was not ready to raise interest rates.

“In my opinion, it is a bit tricky at the moment to make a decision (to raise the interest rates). I am not ready to do it yet”.

 

Bank of England rate history in the last 10 years

bank of england interest rate history
Source Bank of England

Economy

The UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product) was estimated to have increased by 0.3% in Quarter 2 (April to June) 2017. The growth in Quarter 2 was driven mainly by services, which grew by 0.5% compared to 0.1% growth in Quarter 1 (January to March) 2017.
The largest contributors to growth in services were retail trade and film production and distribution. Construction and manufacturing were the biggest downward pulls on quarterly GDP growth after two consecutive quarters of growth.
GDP per head was estimated to have increased by 0.1% during Quarter 2 2017.

UK GDP (Gross Domestic Product)
Source: Office for National Statistics

 

Financial Markets

The Pound

The Pound has been at a steady level for the past few weeks, on 16th July reaching its highest level against the US Dollar since September 2016. Most experts predict the rates to remain at the same level in the upcoming Bank of England meeting. The markets would have priced in the outcome already.

Pound Sterling rising
GBP/USD Source: Go markets MT4

Since reaching record highs back in May, the FTSE100 has remained around the same level with no major movement in the Index in the recent weeks.

FTSE100 index flat
FTSE 100 Source Go Markets MT$

Remaining Monetary Policy Committee meeting dates in 2017

Monetary Policy Committee meeting dates

The New Note

On 18th July 2017, the Bank of England unveiled the new £10 note which will be issued on 14th September 2017. The £10 note which features author Jane Austen, will be larger than the new £5 note but smaller than the current £10 note and will is made of plastic and has traces of animal fat.

Speaking at Winchester Cathedral, the resting place of Jane Austen, the Governor Mark Carney said“Our banknotes serve as repositories of the country’s collective memory, promoting awareness of the United Kingdom’s glorious history and highlighting the contributions of its greatest citizens”.

new ten pound note
The New Ten                                                        Source Bank Of England

The new £10 note celebrates Jane Austen’s work.  Austen’s novels have a universal appeal and speak as powerfully today as they did when they were first published.  The new £10 will be printed on polymer, making it safer, stronger and cleaner.  The note will also include a new tactile feature on the £10 to help the visually impaired, ensuring the nation’s money is as inclusive as possible.

By: Klavs Valters
GO Markets

 

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